Astur vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
AST
66%
20%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 1
VCD
42%
26%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
0 - 0
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AST
0 - 1
MOS
54%
24%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
AST
45%
25%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
LDV
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
URR
1 - 3
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 2
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 2
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
CAN
45%
26%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |