Astrea vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SOR
2 - 2
AST
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AST
3 - 1
ARZ
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
5 - 0
AST
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AST
2 - 3
SAN
34%
23%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LCR
1 - 0
AST
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 1
OST
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BUD
5 - 2
SEL
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SEL
2 - 1
TCA
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CYN
0 - 1
SEL
53%
23%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
2 - 0
SOR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +3 |