Astrea vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
AST
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
AST
6 - 1
RIE
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 4
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AST
1 - 1
ASC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 2
AST
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
STC
42%
25%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 1
ASC
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 1
SEL
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 0
LAT
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FON
2 - 1
SEL
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |