Astrea vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
AST
0 - 0
SOR
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AST
7 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ANZ
0 - 0
AST
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AST
2 - 1
ARZ
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FON
1 - 1
SOR
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 5
FON
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FON
3 - 2
ARZ
61%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SEL
1 - 5
FON
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FON
0 - 0
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |