Astrea vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
AST
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AST
2 - 1
TER
37%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AST
2 - 2
PRO
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 2
AST
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
AST
3 - 1
SEL
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FID
1 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RCA
1 - 2
FID
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANZ
7 - 3
FID
34%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POM
2 - 0
FID
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |