Astrea vs Fidene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CIT
1 - 1
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AST
2 - 2
ANZ
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 0
AST
81%
13%
5%
|
26 | 61 | 35 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AST
3 - 0
POR
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POM
1 - 0
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FID
2 - 0
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 2
FID
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FID
0 - 1
CYN
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FID
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FID
2 - 2
BAC
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |