Astrea vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AST
5 - 2
OLY
41%
24%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JES
1 - 0
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AST
1 - 1
VIS
46%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
AST
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 3
AST
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
RCA
44%
26%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AMI
0 - 2
FCC
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
REC
0 - 1
FCC
66%
22%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
ISE
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |