Astrea vs Civitavecchia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
GAE
2 - 0
AST
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AST
2 - 2
VIT
35%
27%
39%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AST
2 - 0
ASM
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
STC
3 - 0
AST
51%
24%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
USD
52%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
CIV
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 2
VIT
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASM
3 - 0
CIV
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BUD
3 - 0
CIV
57%
23%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CIV
2 - 1
STC
26%
25%
49%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |