Astrea vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 2
AST
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
AST
4 - 1
SEL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
AST
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AST
2 - 0
CYN
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TCA
0 - 0
AST
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 1
OLB
31%
26%
43%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
ANZ
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANZ
2 - 1
BUD
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 1
ANZ
55%
21%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ANZ
0 - 1
LRO
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |