Astrea vs Albalonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AST
0 - 2
NUO
21%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
5 - 0
AST
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
AST
75%
17%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AST
0 - 3
CYN
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
AST
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 3
ALB
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 0
ARZ
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
RIE
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 1
ALB
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |