Astrea vs Calangianus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LRO
1 - 1
AST
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AST
1 - 1
USD
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CYN
3 - 1
AST
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
AST
4 - 2
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VIL
3 - 1
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Calangianus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FBC
1 - 4
20%
23%
57%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
FBC
82%
13%
5%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FBC
0 - 2
VIT
13%
21%
66%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
STC
2 - 0
FBC
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FBC
2 - 3
CIV
14%
21%
65%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |