Astrakhan vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
13
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AST
2 - 2
NCH
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AST
4 - 1
DDA
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
DIN
1 - 1
AST
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
AST
2 - 0
ROS
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 2
SOC
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
NAL
2 - 1
BRO
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
NAL
65%
20%
14%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 1
DMA
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
NCH
5 - 0
NAL
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |