Astrakhan vs Legion Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
23
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 2
AST
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
SOC
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
AST
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AST
0 - 0
DMA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 1
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKK
3 - 0
LEG
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NAL
0 - 1
LEG
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 1
SOC
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKC
0 - 0
LEG
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |