Astrakhan vs Pobeda Khasavyurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
35
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 46 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 40 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
59% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 85.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DDA
0 - 7
AST
16%
19%
66%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
DIN
31%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ROS
4 - 1
AST
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AST
0 - 1
RUB
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
FKK
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pobeda Khasavyurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKP
2 - 0
ANG
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
LEG
3 - 0
FKP
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
NAL
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
FKP
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 2
SKC
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |