Astrakhan vs FC Kuban Holding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
9º
26
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 41 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 40 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 24 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 19 |
13º
|
58.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 11 |
14º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
AST
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AST
1 - 4
NAL
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 2
AST
39%
22%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
5 - 2
SKC
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 0
AST
33%
23%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Kuban Holding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NAL
1 - 3
FKK
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BIO
1 - 1
FKK
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SKC
1 - 0
FKK
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKP
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
FKK
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |