Astrakhan vs FC Sochi-2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+987%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 0
AST
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AST
0 - 0
DMA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 1
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AST
1 - 2
FKP
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DDA
0 - 7
AST
16%
19%
66%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sochi-2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SOC
4 - 0
ANG
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 1
SOC
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 0
NAL
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
3 - 1
SOC
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SKC
1 - 4
SOC
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +1 |