Astrakhan vs Druzhba Maykop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
26
8º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 46 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 21 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 18 |
13º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 6 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 1
AST
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AST
1 - 2
FKP
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DDA
0 - 7
AST
16%
19%
66%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
DIN
31%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ROS
4 - 1
AST
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DMA
2 - 0
ANG
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 3
DMA
68%
21%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DMA
1 - 2
NAL
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
1 - 1
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
DMA
3 - 4
SKC
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |