Astrakhan vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FCK
0 - 4
AST
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
DAG
4 - 1
AST
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
AST
1 - 0
BIO
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MIT
0 - 1
AST
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 2
CHE
15%
24%
61%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALA
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHE
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
DMA
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | +1 |