Astrakhan vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
AVV
2 - 0
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
AST
2 - 1
SLS
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
NEK
0 - 1
AST
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
AST
0 - 0
ANG
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
AST
1 - 0
DYS
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 1
NCH
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 1
SUA
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
AVV
1 - 1
ARN
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
ARN
1 - 4
SLS
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 0
SUA
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |