Astrakhan vs Aruan Nartkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2001 |
ARG
2 - 1
AST
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
KRD
0 - 0
AST
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
AST
3 - 1
SHA
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
AST
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
AST
3 - 1
DMA
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +5 |
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2001 |
ARN
1 - 0
KRD
24%
26%
51%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
SHA
1 - 0
ARN
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
ARN
0 - 1
ANG
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2001 |
DMA
2 - 0
ARN
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
ARN
4 - 0
LOK
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |