Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 5-3
FC Astra Giurgiu vs Trenčín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
COR
2 - 5
AST
12%
27%
61%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 3
AST
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
OMO
1 - 2
AST
53%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 4
AST
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
AST
1 - 1
OMO
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SEN
3 - 1
TRE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 3
AST
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TRE
4 - 2
SBR
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
TRE
2 - 1
GÖT
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TNV
2 - 1
TRE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |