Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 0-1
FC Astra Giurgiu vs Oleksandriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Astra Giurgiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
VOL
3 - 1
AST
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
ZIR
0 - 0
AST
40%
25%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
SSG
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
AST
3 - 1
ZIR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
TRE
4 - 2
AST
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 0
PFC
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
PFC
0 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
PFC
1 - 1
SHA
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
PFC
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
PFC
1 - 1
CHO
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |