Aston Villa U23 vs Newcastle U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MID
4 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
LUS
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FUL
4 - 1
ASV
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
4 - 0
WOL
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
ASV
3 - 4
STO
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
NSB
2 - 0
CPA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
NSB
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
WOL
4 - 0
NSB
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
FUL
2 - 2
NSB
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
NSB
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |