Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
5º
26
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
2 - 4
AVI
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 4
AVI
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
WYC
1 - 3
AVI
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 1
AVI
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
MID
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 1
MID
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
BPO
4 - 1
MID
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
WIG
4 - 1
MID
85%
12%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |