Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 2
ASV
14%
21%
65%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 1
CRY
55%
23%
22%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
74%
17%
10%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
HIB
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 3
EVE
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 2
EVE
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
EVE
11%
19%
70%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
WOL
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |