Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CRY
3 - 2
ASV
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 3
MUD
18%
23%
60%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 1
LEI
50%
24%
26%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
LEI
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |