Aston Villa vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 0
OPA
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CHL
2 - 0
ASV
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 1
LOV
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 1
QPR
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 2
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
BOR
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
3 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |