Aston Birra 30 vs Eder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Birra 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
HIS
5 - 2
AST
58%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GAR
4 - 2
AST
55%
20%
25%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
AST
2 - 4
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 4
AST
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AST
0 - 4
VED
23%
21%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EDE
3 - 2
GAR
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MON
6 - 1
EDE
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EDE
3 - 3
ESP
48%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VED
6 - 1
EDE
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
EDE
0 - 9
LEC
21%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |