Aston Birra 3.0 vs Romareda Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
58%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Birra 3.0
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
RIH
0 - 0
ABI
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ABI
3 - 3
EDE
44%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
6 - 0
ABI
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ABI
0 - 6
AVA
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -3 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
ABI
66%
17%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Romareda Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2015 |
MOL
3 - 4
RCA
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RCA
6 - 2
NIC
69%
16%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 3
RCA
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
EDE
0 - 2
RCA
33%
21%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RCA
7 - 5
ERO
43%
21%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |