Aston Birra 3.0 vs Pegaso At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Birra 3.0
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MOL
2 - 1
ABI
72%
16%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ABI
0 - 10
RAN
12%
16%
71%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RCA
12 - 0
ABI
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ABI
2 - 2
RIH
37%
23%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EDE
0 - 1
ABI
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Pegaso At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PEG
4 - 1
NIC
46%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEG
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
ERO
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EMO
3 - 1
PEG
73%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEG
1 - 0
HUR
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |