Aston Birra 3.0 vs Movera A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Birra 3.0
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EDE
1 - 3
ABI
60%
18%
22%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RIH
5 - 0
ABI
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
EBR
0 - 1
ABI
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ABI
1 - 1
VED
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RAN
5 - 0
ABI
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Movera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MOV
0 - 4
RIH
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RAN
4 - 0
MOV
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MOV
1 - 0
FCD
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EBR
2 - 3
MOV
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VED
1 - 1
MOV
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |