Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
2º
34
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
AST
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 0
AST
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 1
AST
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
TOB
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 0
ORD
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
VKP
34%
26%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DER
1 - 0
TOB
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |