Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ZHE
0 - 1
AST
23%
28%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
TAR
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
FCA
59%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 3
AST
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
SHA
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
TOB
1 - 2
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ORD
2 - 2
TOB
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TOB
3 - 0
SHA
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOB
1 - 0
AKZ
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ZHE
2 - 0
TOB
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -3 |