Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TOB
1 - 1
AST
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AST
2 - 2
KAI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 2
AST
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
KAI
1 - 0
AST
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
ORD
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TOB
1 - 1
AST
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
KAI
0 - 0
TOB
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
TOB
2 - 1
ORD
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ZHE
1 - 2
TOB
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TOB
0 - 0
ATY
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |