Astana vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AST
1 - 0
TAR
67%
19%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ATY
0 - 0
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 1
AST
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AST
2 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
FCI
0 - 1
AST
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
1 - 4
ORD
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
1 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 0
TOB
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
TOB
4 - 0
FCI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TOB
3 - 0
ATY
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |