Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 6-1
Astana vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
PYU
1 - 4
AST
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
AST
5 - 3
FCI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
TOB
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
PYU
1 - 4
AST
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ULI
2 - 1
PYU
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PYU
0 - 1
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
PYU
2 - 1
GAN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALA
5 - 1
PYU
32%
27%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |