Astana vs Ordabasy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
2º
42
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
AST
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ordabasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ORD
3 - 1
ZHE
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
ORD
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
TOB
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 2
FCA
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |