Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-1
Astana vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 2
AST
25%
24%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
AST
1 - 0
SUT
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
0 - 0
AST
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
AST
5 - 3
ORD
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
AAB
2 - 1
MID
19%
23%
59%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 1
MID
47%
23%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
SON
2 - 1
MID
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MID
2 - 2
FRE
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |