Astana vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
2º
47
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
AST
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
ORD
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
AST
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
KAI
30%
27%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 2
KAI
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ATY
3 - 1
KAI
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |