Astana vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
2º
25
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
AST
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 0
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 4
AST
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
AST
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 0
VOL
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AKT
5 - 0
FKZ
36%
23%
42%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SSO
1 - 0
FKZ
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FKZ
4 - 0
FKA
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
KYR
1 - 1
FKZ
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |