UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-3
Astana vs CFR Cluj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
TOB
0 - 2
AST
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
AST
0 - 2
KAI
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ORD
3 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
KAI
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
AST
1 - 0
ZHE
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CFR Cluj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CLU
0 - 1
VIT
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
CLU
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 0
MBO
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
CLU
2 - 1
OSI
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CLU
1 - 1
CRV
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |