Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 4-2
Astana vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
AST
3 - 0
FCI
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
AST
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 1
AST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
AST
1 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AST
2 - 1
ZAL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 1
MIN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 2
BAT
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
BAT
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
DIN
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |