Astana vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
AST
3 - 2
FCA
70%
17%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
KAI
0 - 0
AST
21%
22%
57%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
AST
4 - 3
SHA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
KYZ
3 - 2
AST
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
AST
0 - 2
ORD
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
LOK
1 - 2
ARI
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 3
HKS
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
2 - 1
ARI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
AEK
0 - 0
ARI
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |