Astana vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KAI
1 - 1
AST
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AST
5 - 0
ORD
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
AST
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KAI
2 - 0
FCA
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 0
KAI
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -2 |