ASSUR vs HLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSUR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PIK
3 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
DUC
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 2
DAD
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
OUA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
NIA
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
HLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
HLM
2 - 1
OUA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2011 |
NIA
0 - 0
HLM
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
HLM
1 - 2
JAR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
JED
0 - 0
HLM
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HLM
0 - 0
LAL
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |