Assumption United vs Samut Songkhram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
9º
49
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUF
1 - 1
AUF
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUF
1 - 1
PTU
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AUF
2 - 0
LOC
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
5 - 2
AUF
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AUF
2 - 1
IPE
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Samut Songkhram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
PTU
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 3
KRA
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 2
SAM
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 1
IPE
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
VON
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |