Assumption vs Rangsit JW analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CUS
2 - 0
ASS
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAY
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
RBA
2 - 1
ASS
18%
20%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 0
ARM
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 0
ASS
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rangsit JW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
RJW
1 - 2
KAS
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
BAN
3 - 1
RJW
84%
12%
5%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
RJW
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
RJW
1 - 1
DOM
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
BUD
1 - 1
RJW
66%
18%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |