Assumption vs R-BAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 1
ASS
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
BCC
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 3
ASS
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
KBE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RJW
0 - 2
ASS
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
R-BAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RBA
1 - 0
NBC
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CUS
3 - 2
RBA
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
RBA
1 - 1
RAJ
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SPU
1 - 1
RBA
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RBA
1 - 0
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |