Assumption vs Police Tero FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
80.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
SSK
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
KTH
0 - 1
ASS
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 0
IPE
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 0
MUA
37%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CUS
1 - 2
ASS
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Police Tero FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 1
BEC
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
BEC
0 - 4
RAT
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
MUA
0 - 1
BEC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NAK
1 - 0
BEC
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
OSO
2 - 3
BEC
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |