Assumption vs Christian College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assumption
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAY
1 - 3
ASS
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
KBE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RJW
0 - 2
ASS
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 1
THA
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Christian College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BCC
2 - 0
NBC
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CUS
2 - 4
BCC
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BCC
1 - 0
RAJ
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SPU
1 - 0
BCC
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 0
BCC
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +3 |